Hurricane Season: What to Expect and How to Prepare
Opening Day of Hurricane Season: Cautious Optimism
June 1st marked the official start of hurricane season in the United States. However, weather forecasters are expressing cautious optimism that this season will not see significant hurricane activity. NOAA and other experts anticipate that El Niño and cooler sea-surface temperatures in the Atlantic will help to suppress storm formation.
NOAA’s Predictions for 2014 Hurricane Season
NOAA predicts that the 2014 hurricane season will bring 8 to 13 named storms, 3 to 6 hurricanes, and 1 to 2 major hurricanes. These predictions are based on historical data and current climate conditions.
Last Year’s Hurricane Season: A Case of Overhype
Last year’s hurricane season was predicted to be particularly active, but it turned out to be a relatively quiet season. No hurricanes made landfall in the United States, and only a few tropical storms caused minor damage. Scientists are still trying to determine why the predictions were so far off the mark.
The Importance of Preparedness
Despite the optimistic forecast, coastal residents should not become complacent. It only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for a particular area. The Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University reminds residents to prepare for every hurricane season, regardless of the predicted activity level.
The Impact of El Niño on Hurricane Activity
El Niño is a climate pattern that occurs every few years and causes warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean. These warmer temperatures can disrupt the formation and development of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic.
The Dangers of Post-Tropical Cyclones
Even though no major hurricanes (category 3 and up) have made landfall in the United States since 2005, smaller storms can still have a significant impact. In 2012, Hurricane Sandy made landfall in New Jersey as a “post-tropical cyclone” and caused billions of dollars in damage. Post-tropical cyclones can still bring high winds, heavy rain, and storm surge, which can lead to flooding and other hazards.
Preparing for Hurricane Season
Preparing for hurricane season is essential for coastal communities. Here are some steps that individuals can take to prepare:
- Create an emergency plan: Develop a plan for what to do before, during, and after a hurricane. This plan should include evacuation routes, shelter locations, and contact information for family and friends.
- Gather emergency supplies: Stock up on non-perishable food, water, first-aid supplies, and other essential items.
- Secure your home: Reinforce windows and doors, and remove any loose objects that could become projectiles in high winds.
- Stay informed: Monitor weather forecasts and advisories, and follow the instructions of local officials.
Mitigating Storm Damage
There are several measures that coastal communities can take to mitigate storm damage, including:
- Building seawalls and levees: These structures can help to protect coastal areas from storm surge and flooding.
- Restoring wetlands: Wetlands act as natural buffers against storm waves and can help to reduce erosion.
- Relocating vulnerable structures: Moving buildings and infrastructure away from high-risk areas can help to minimize damage from hurricanes.
Coastal Community Resilience
Coastal communities can increase their resilience to hurricanes by investing in disaster preparedness and mitigation measures. By working together, communities can reduce the risks associated with hurricanes and protect lives and property.
Disaster Response and Recovery
Hurricanes can cause widespread damage and disruption. In the aftermath of a hurricane, it is essential for communities to respond quickly and effectively. Disaster response efforts include search and rescue operations, providing food and shelter to survivors, and restoring essential services.
Recovery from a hurricane can be a long and challenging process. Communities need to work together to rebuild infrastructure, restore businesses, and provide support to those who have been affected by the storm.